The following is just idle speculation but I believe it has more than a kernel of truth in it. And it illustrates "thinking beyond stage one."
Police increase their presence in a neighborhood. They also start a program of stopping suspicious people and running names thru the police computers. After three months of this program the rate of muggings, petty larceny and simple assult are up.
How could scaring off the pushers, felons and the like cause an increase in crime?
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